Authors
Andrew D Friend, Wolfgang Lucht, Tim T Rademacher, Rozenn Keribin, Richard Betts, Patricia Cadule, Philippe Ciais, Douglas B Clark, Rutger Dankers, Pete D Falloon, Akihiko Ito, Ron Kahana, Axel Kleidon, Mark R Lomas, Kazuya Nishina, Sebastian Ostberg, Ryan Pavlick, Philippe Peylin, Sibyll Schaphoff, Nicolas Vuichard, Lila Warszawski, Andy Wiltshire, F Ian Woodward
Publication date
2014/3/4
Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Volume
111
Issue
9
Pages
3280-3285
Publisher
National Academy of Sciences
Description
Future climate change and increasing atmospheric CO2 are expected to cause major changes in vegetation structure and function over large fractions of the global land surface. Seven global vegetation models are used to analyze possible responses to future climate simulated by a range of general circulation models run under all four representative concentration pathway scenarios of changing concentrations of greenhouse gases. All 110 simulations predict an increase in global vegetation carbon to 2100, but with substantial variation between vegetation models. For example, at 4 °C of global land surface warming (510–758 ppm of CO2), vegetation carbon increases by 52–477 Pg C (224 Pg C mean), mainly due to CO2 fertilization of photosynthesis. Simulations agree on large regional increases across much of the boreal forest, western Amazonia, central Africa, western China, and southeast Asia, with …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
AD Friend, W Lucht, TT Rademacher, R Keribin… - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2014