Authors
Franciscus Dentener, David Stevenson, K v Ellingsen, T Van Noije, M Schultz, M Amann, C Atherton, N Bell, D Bergmann, I Bey, L Bouwman, T Butler, Janusz Cofala, B Collins, J Drevet, Ruth Doherty, B Eickhout, H Eskes, A Fiore, M Gauss, D Hauglustaine, L Horowitz, ISA Isaksen, B Josse, M Lawrence, M Krol, JF Lamarque, V Montanaro, JF Müller, VH Peuch, G Pitari, J Pyle, S Rast, J Rodriguez, M Sanderson, NH Savage, D Shindell, S Strahan, S Szopa, K Sudo, R Van Dingenen, O Wild, G Zeng
Publication date
2006/6/1
Journal
Environmental Science & Technology
Volume
40
Issue
11
Pages
3586-3594
Publisher
American Chemical Society
Description
Air quality, ecosystem exposure to nitrogen deposition, and climate change are intimately coupled problems: we assess changes in the global atmospheric environment between 2000 and 2030 using 26 state-of-the-art global atmospheric chemistry models and three different emissions scenarios. The first (CLE) scenario reflects implementation of current air quality legislation around the world, while the second (MFR) represents a more optimistic case in which all currently feasible technologies are applied to achieve maximum emission reductions. We contrast these scenarios with the more pessimistic IPCC SRES A2 scenario. Ensemble simulations for the year 2000 are consistent among models and show a reasonable agreement with surface ozone, wet deposition, and NO2 satellite observations. Large parts of the world are currently exposed to high ozone concentrations and high deposition of nitrogen to …
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F Dentener, D Stevenson, K Ellingsen, T Van Noije… - Environmental Science & Technology, 2006