Authors
Vaishali Naik, A Voulgarakis, Arlene M Fiore, Larry W Horowitz, J-F Lamarque, Meiyun Lin, Michael J Prather, PJ Young, Daniel Bergmann, PJ Cameron-Smith, Irene Cionni, WJ Collins, Stig Bjørløw Dalsøren, R Doherty, Veronika Eyring, G Faluvegi, GA Folberth, B Josse, YH Lee, Ian A MacKenzie, Tatsuya Nagashima, TPC Van Noije, DA Plummer, Mattia Righi, Steven T Rumbold, R Skeie, DT Shindell, DS Stevenson, S Strode, K Sudo, S Szopa, G Zeng
Publication date
2013/5/27
Journal
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Volume
13
Issue
10
Pages
5277-5298
Publisher
Copernicus GmbH
Description
We have analysed time-slice simulations from 17 global models, participating in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP), to explore changes in present-day (2000) hydroxyl radical (OH) concentration and methane (CH4) lifetime relative to preindustrial times (1850) and to 1980. A comparison of modeled and observation-derived methane and methyl chloroform lifetimes suggests that the present-day global multi-model mean OH concentration is overestimated by 5 to 10% but is within the range of uncertainties. The models consistently simulate higher OH concentrations in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) compared with the Southern Hemisphere (SH) for the present-day (2000; inter-hemispheric ratios of 1.13 to 1.42), in contrast to observation-based approaches which generally indicate higher OH in the SH although uncertainties are large. Evaluation of simulated carbon monoxide (CO) concentrations, the primary sink for OH, against ground-based and satellite observations suggests low biases in the NH that may contribute to the high north–south OH asymmetry in the models. The models vary widely in their regional distribution of present-day OH concentrations (up to 34%). Despite large regional changes, the multi-model global mean (mass-weighted) OH concentration changes little over the past 150 yr, due to concurrent increases in factors that enhance OH (humidity, tropospheric ozone, nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions, and UV radiation due to decreases in stratospheric ozone), compensated by increases in OH sinks (methane abundance, carbon monoxide and non-methane volatile organic carbon …
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