Authors
Sankar Nath, SD Kotal, PK Kundu
Publication date
2015/9/1
Journal
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Volume
4
Issue
3-4
Pages
110-123
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
A fuzzy, c-means (FCM) clustering technique is explored to investigate the track of tropical cyclones over the North Indian Ocean (NIO) for the period (1976-2014). A total of five clusters is objectively identified based on partition index, partition coefficient, Dunn Index and separation index. The results obtained during analysis emphasized that each cluster has the unique features in terms of their genesis location, landfall, travel duration, trajectory, seasonality, accumulated cyclone energy and Intensity. Analysis of large scale environmental parameters, constructed preceding day of genesis show some of these parameters to be potential precursors to TC formation for almost all the clusters, most prominently, mid-tropospheric humidity, zonal wind, vorticity and outgoing long wave radiation of the main developing regions. The individual clusters have the several distinct features in their seasonal cycles. The cluster C5 …
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