Authors
Augustinos I Dimitras, Roman Slowinski, Robert Susmaga, Constantin Zopounidis
Publication date
1999/4/16
Journal
European Journal of operational research
Volume
114
Issue
2
Pages
263-280
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
A large number of methods like discriminant analysis, logit analysis, recursive partitioning algorithm, etc., have been used in the past for the prediction of business failure. Although some of these methods lead to models with a satisfactory ability to discriminate between healthy and bankrupt firms, they suffer from some limitations, often due to the unrealistic assumption of statistical hypotheses or due to a confusing language of communication with the decision makers. This is why we have undertaken a research aiming at weakening these limitations. In this paper, the rough set approach is used to provide a set of rules able to discriminate between healthy and failing firms in order to predict business failure. Financial characteristics of a large sample of 80 Greek firms are used to derive a set of rules and to evaluate its prediction ability. The results are very encouraging, compared with those of discriminant and logit …
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Scholar articles
AI Dimitras, R Slowinski, R Susmaga, C Zopounidis - European Journal of operational research, 1999