Authors
Medical Outreach Team of the Drug Information Association Bayesian Scientific Working Group, Ross Bray, Andrew Hartley, Deborah Wenkert, Natalia Muehlemann, Fanni Natanegara, Frank E Harrell Jr, Fei Wang, Jennifer Clark
Publication date
2023/5
Journal
Therapeutic Innovation & Regulatory Science
Volume
57
Issue
3
Pages
426-435
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Description
Objective and Background
We assessed current understandings in interpretation of Bayesian and traditional statistical results within the clinical researcher (non-statistician) community.
Methods
Within a 22-question survey, including demographics and experience and comfort levels with Bayesian analyses, we included questions on how to interpret both Bayesian and traditional statistical outputs. We also assessed whether Bayesian or traditional interpretations are considered more useful.
Results
Among the 323 respondent clinicians, 42.4% and 36.5% chose the correct interpretations of the posterior probability and 95% credible interval, respectively. Only 11.5% of respondents interpreted the p-value correctly and 23.5% interpreted the 95% confidence interval correctly.
Conclusions
Based on these survey results, we conclude that most of these clinicians face uncertainty when attempting to interpret results from both …
Total citations
2023202432
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