Authors
Marjan Bakker, Annette Van Dijk, Jelte M Wicherts
Publication date
2012/11
Journal
Perspectives on Psychological Science
Volume
7
Issue
6
Pages
543-554
Publisher
Sage Publications
Description
If science were a game, a dominant rule would probably be to collect results that are statistically significant. Several reviews of the psychological literature have shown that around 96% of papers involving the use of null hypothesis significance testing report significant outcomes for their main results but that the typical studies are insufficiently powerful for such a track record. We explain this paradox by showing that the use of several small underpowered samples often represents a more efficient research strategy (in terms of finding p < .05) than does the use of one larger (more powerful) sample. Publication bias and the most efficient strategy lead to inflated effects and high rates of false positives, especially when researchers also resorted to questionable research practices, such as adding participants after intermediate testing. We provide simulations that highlight the severity of such biases in meta-analyses. We …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
M Bakker, A Van Dijk, JM Wicherts - Perspectives on Psychological Science, 2012