Authors
Jed Friedman, Norbert Schady
Publication date
2013/5
Journal
Health Economics
Volume
22
Issue
5
Pages
611-622
Description
The human consequences of the recent global financial crisis for the developing world are presumed to be severe, but few studies have quantified them. This letter estimates the human cost of the 2008–2009 global financial crisis in one critical dimension—infant mortality—for countries in sub‐Saharan Africa. The analysis pools birth‐level data, as reported in female adult retrospective birth histories from all Demographic and Health Surveys collected in sub‐Saharan Africa. This results in a data set of 639,000 births to 264,000 women in 30 countries. We use regression models with flexible controls for temporal trends to assess an infant's likelihood of death as a function of fluctuations in national income. We then calculate the expected number of excess deaths by combining these estimates with growth shortfalls as a result of the crisis. The results suggest 28,000–50,000 excess infant deaths in sub‐Saharan Africa …
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