Authors
Aleksei Mashlakov, Toni Kuronen, Lasse Lensu, Arto Kaarna, Samuli Honkapuro
Publication date
2021/3/1
Journal
Applied Energy
Volume
285
Pages
116405
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Deep learning models have the potential to advance the short-term decision-making of electricity market participants and system operators by capturing the complex dependences and uncertainties of power system operation. Currently, however, the adoption of global deep learning models for multivariate energy forecasting in power systems is far behind the developments in the deep learning research field. In this context, the objectives of this study are to review recent developments in the field of probabilistic, multivariate, and multihorizon time series forecasting and empirically evaluate the performance of novel global deep learning models for forecasting wind and solar generation, electricity load, and wholesale electricity price for intraday and day-ahead time horizons. Two forecast types, deterministic and probabilistic forecasts, are studied. The evaluation data consist of real-world datasets with hourly resolution …
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