Authors
Mumtaz Ali, Ramendra Prasad, Yong Xiang, Zaher Mundher Yaseen
Publication date
2020/5/1
Journal
Journal of Hydrology
Volume
584
Pages
124647
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Persistent risks of extreme weather events including droughts and floods due to climate change require precise and timely rainfall forecasting. Yet, the naturally occurring non-stationarity entrenched within the rainfall time series lowers the model performances and is an ongoing research endeavour for practicing hydrologists and drought-risk evaluators. In this paper, an attempt is made to resolve the non-stationarity challenges faced by rainfall forecasting models via a complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) combined with Random Forest (RF) and Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) algorithms in designing a hybrid CEEMD-RF-KRR model in forecasting rainfall at Gilgit, Muzaffarabad, and Parachinar in Pakistan at monthly time scale. The rainfall time-series data are simultaneously factorized into respective intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and a residual element using CEEMD. Once the significant …
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