Authors
Eunshin Byon, Youngjun Choe, Nattavut Yampikulsakul
Publication date
2015/7/10
Journal
IEEE Transactions on Automation Science and Engineering
Volume
13
Issue
2
Pages
997-1007
Publisher
IEEE
Description
This study develops new adaptive learning methods for a dynamic system where the dependency among variables changes over time. In general, many statistical methods focus on characterizing a system or process with historical data and predicting future observations based on a developed time-invariant model. However, for a nonstationary process with time-varying input-to-output relationship, a single baseline curve may not accurately characterize the system's dynamic behavior. This study develops kernel-based nonparametric regression models that allow the baseline curve to evolve over time. Applying the proposed approach to a real wind power system, we investigate the nonstationary nature of wind effect on the turbine response. The results show that the proposed methods can dynamically update the time-varying dependency pattern and can track changes in the operational wind power system.
Total citations
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Scholar articles
E Byon, Y Choe, N Yampikulsakul - IEEE Transactions on Automation Science and …, 2015