Authors
Claudia Kimie Suemoto, Peter Ueda, Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez, Maria Lucia Lebrão, Yeda Aparecida Duarte, Rebeca Wong, Goodarz Danaei
Publication date
2017/3/1
Journal
Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biomedical Sciences and Medical Sciences
Volume
72
Issue
3
Pages
410-416
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Description
Background
Existing mortality prediction models for older adults have been each developed using a single study from the United States or Western Europe. We aimed to develop and validate a 10-year mortality prediction model for older adults using data from developed and developing countries.
Methods
We used data from five cohorts, including data from 16 developed and developing countries: ELSA (English Longitudinal Study of Aging), HRS (Health and Retirement Study), MHAS (Mexican Health and Aging Study), SABE-Sao Paulo (The Health, Well-being and Aging), and SHARE (Survey on Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe). 35,367 older adults were split into training (two thirds) and test (one third) data sets. Baseline predictors included age, sex, comorbidities, and functional and cognitive measures. We …
Scholar articles
CK Suemoto, P Ueda, H Beltrán-Sánchez, ML Lebrão… - Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biomedical Sciences …, 2017