Authors
Hmwe H Kyu, Emilie R Maddison, Nathaniel J Henry, John Everett Mumford, Ryan Barber, Chloe Shields, Jonathan C Brown, Grant Nguyen, Austin Carter, Timothy M Wolock, Haidong Wang, Patrick Y Liu, Marissa Reitsma, Jennifer M Ross, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Kaja Abbas, Mubarek Abera, Semaw Ferede Abera, Habtamu Abera Hareri, Muktar Ahmed, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Joshua Amo-Adjei, Jason Andrews, Hossein Ansari, Carl Abelardo Antonio, Palwasha Anwari, Hamid Asayesh, Tesfay Mehari Atey, Sachin Atre, Aleksandra Barac, Justin Beardsley, Neeraj Bedi, Isabela Bensenor, Addisu Shunu Beyene, Zahid Ahmad Butt, Pere-Joan Cardona, Devasahayam Christopher, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Kebede Deribe, Amare Deribew, Rebecca Ehrenkranz, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Aman Endries, Tesfaye R Feyissa, Florian Fischer, Ruoyan Gai, Alberto L Garcia-Basteiro, Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot, Hailay Gesesew, Belete Getahun, Philimon Gona, Amador Goodridge, Harish Gugnani, Hassan Haghparast-Bidgoli, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Esayas Hilawe, Nobuyuki Horita, Kathryn H Jacobsen, Jost B Jonas, Amir Kasaeian, Muktar Sano Kedir, Laura Kemmer, Yousef Khader, Ejaz Khan, Young-Ho Khang, Abdullah T Khoja, Yun Jin Kim, Parvaiz Koul, Ai Koyanagi, Kristopher J Krohn, G Anil Kumar, Michael Kutz, Rakesh Lodha, Hassan Magdy, El Razek, Reza Majdzadeh, Tsegahun Manyazewal, Ziad Memish, Walter Mendoza, Haftay Berhane Mezgebe, Shafiu Mohammed, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, In-Hwan Oh, Eyal Oren, Aaron Osgood-Zimmerman, David Pereira, Dietrich Plass, Farshad Pourmalek, Mostafa Qorbani, Anwar Rafay, Mahfuzar Rahman, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Puja C Rao, Sarah E Ray, Robert Reiner, Nickolas Reinig, Saeid Safiri, Joshua A Salomon, Logan Sandar, Benn Sartorius, Morteza Shamsizadeh, Muki Shey, Desalegn Markos Shifti, Hirbo Shore, Jasvinder Singh, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Soumya Swaminathan, Scott J Swartz, Fentaw Tadese, Bemnet Amare Tedla, Balewgizie Sileshi Tegegne, Belay Tessema, Roman Topor-Madry, Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja, Olalekan A Uthman, Vasiliy Vlassov, Stein Emil Vollset, Tolassa Wakayo, Solomon Weldegebreal, Ronny Westerman, Abdulhalik Workicho, Naohiro Yonemoto, Seok-Jun Yoon, Marcel Yotebieng, Mohsen Naghavi, Simon I Hay, Theo Vos, Christopher JL Murray
Publication date
2018/3/1
Journal
The Lancet Infectious Diseases
Volume
18
Issue
3
Pages
261-284
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Background
An understanding of the trends in tuberculosis incidence, prevalence, and mortality is crucial to tracking of the success of tuberculosis control programmes and identification of remaining challenges. We assessed trends in the fatal and non-fatal burden of tuberculosis over the past 25 years for 195 countries and territories.
Methods
We analysed 10 691 site-years of vital registration data, 768 site-years of verbal autopsy data, and 361 site-years of mortality surveillance data using the Cause of Death Ensemble model to estimate tuberculosis mortality rates. We analysed all available age-specific and sex-specific data sources, including annual case notifications, prevalence surveys, and estimated cause-specific mortality, to generate internally consistent estimates of incidence, prevalence, and mortality using DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. We assessed how observed tuberculosis …
Scholar articles
HH Kyu, ER Maddison, NJ Henry, JE Mumford… - The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2018