Authors
Nuno Santos, Elisa Ferreras Colino, María Cruz Arnal, Daniel Fernández de Luco, Iker Sevilla, Joseba M Garrido, Eliana Fonseca, Ana M Valente, Ana Balseiro, João Queirós, Virgílio Almeida, Joaquín Vicente, Christian Gortázar, Paulo Célio Alves
Publication date
2022/12/1
Journal
Epidemics
Volume
41
Pages
100633
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
The contribution of wildlife species to pathogen maintenance in multi-host communities has seldom been quantified. To assess the relative contribution of the main wildlife hosts of animal tuberculosis (TB) to its maintenance, we estimated the basic reproduction number (R0) of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex in wild boar and red deer at 29 sites in the Iberian Peninsula. Host abundance and true TB prevalence were estimated for each species at each site by sampling from distributions incorporating the uncertainty in the proportion of the population harvested each year, sensitivity, and specificity of the diagnostic methods, while excretion of mycobacteria was estimated using site-occupancy models. The distributions of these parameters were then used to estimate, at each site, the R0,wild boar (range 0.1 – 55.9, average 8.7, standard deviation 11.8), and the R0,red deer (0.1 – 18.9, 2.2, 3.9). Animal TB is …
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