Authors
Paola Battilani, P Toscano, HJ Van der Fels-Klerx, A Moretti, Marco Camardo Leggieri, C Brera, A Rortais, T Goumperis, T Robinson
Publication date
2016/4/12
Journal
Scientific reports
Volume
6
Issue
1
Pages
24328
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK
Description
Climate change has been reported as a driver for emerging food and feed safety issues worldwide and its expected impact on the presence of mycotoxins in food and feed is of great concern. Aflatoxins have the highest acute and chronic toxicity of all mycotoxins; hence, the maximal concentration in agricultural food and feed products and their commodities is regulated worldwide. The possible change in patterns of aflatoxin occurrence in crops due to climate change is a matter of concern that may require anticipatory actions. The aim of this study was to predict aflatoxin contamination in maize and wheat crops, within the next 100 years, under a +2 °C and +5 °C climate change scenario, applying a modelling approach. Europe was virtually covered by a net, 50 × 50 km grids, identifying 2254 meshes with a central point each. Climate data were generated for each point, linked to predictive models and …
Total citations
201620172018201920202021202220232024142574691071071218956
Scholar articles
P Battilani, P Toscano, HJ Van der Fels-Klerx, A Moretti… - Scientific reports, 2016