Authors
Eun-Pa Lim, Harry H Hendon, Ghyslaine Boschat, Debra Hudson, David WJ Thompson, Andrew J Dowdy, Julie M Arblaster
Publication date
2019/11
Journal
Nature Geoscience
Volume
12
Issue
11
Pages
896-901
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK
Description
The occurrence of extreme hot and dry conditions in warm seasons can have large impacts on human health, energy and water supplies, agriculture and wildfires. Australian hot and dry extremes have been known to be associated with the occurrence of El Niño and other variations of tropospheric circulation. Here we identify an additional driver: variability of the stratospheric Antarctic polar vortex. On the basis of statistical analyses using observational data covering the past 40 yr, we show that weakenings and warmings of the stratospheric polar vortex, which episodically occur during austral spring, substantially increase the chances of hot and dry extremes and of associated fire-conducive weather across subtropical eastern Australia from austral spring to early summer. The promotion of these Australian climate extremes results from the downward coupling of the weakened polar vortex to tropospheric levels …
Total citations
202020212022202320243931302712
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