Authors
Debra Hudson, Oscar Alves, Harry H Hendon, Eun-Pa Lim, Guoqiang Liu, Jing-Jia Luo, Craig MacLachlan, Andrew G Marshall, Li Shi, Guomin Wang, Robin Wedd, Griffith Young, Mei Zhao, Xiaobing Zhou
Publication date
2018/1/1
Journal
JOURNAL OF SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE EARTH SYSTEMS SCIENCE
Volume
67
Issue
3
Pages
132-159
Publisher
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU METEOROLOGY
Description
ACCESS-S1 will be the next version of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's seasonal prediction system, due to become operational in early 2018. The multiweek and seasonal performance of ACCESS-S1 has been evaluated based on a 23-year hindcast set and compared to the current operational system, POAMA. The system has considerable enhancements compared to POAMA, including higher vertical and horizontal resolution of the component models and state-ofthe-art physics parameterisation schemes. ACCESS-S1 is based on the UK Met Office GloSea5-GC2 seasonal prediction system, but has enhancements to the ensemble generation strategy to make it appropriate for multi-week forecasting, and a larger ensemble size. ACCESS-S1 has markedly reduced biases in the mean state of the climate, both globally and over Australia, compared to POAMA. ACCESS-S1 also better predicts the early stages …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
D Hudson, O Alves, HH Hendon, EP Lim, G Liu, JJ Luo… - Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems …, 2017