Authors
Terence Darlington Mushore, John Odindi, Timothy Dube, Onisimo Mutanga
Publication date
2017/9/1
Journal
Building and Environment
Volume
122
Pages
397-410
Publisher
Pergamon
Description
The objective of the study was to determine the impact of urban growth on future micro-climate of Harare by predicting future distribution of land use and land cover, as well as land surface temperature using Cellular Automata Markov Chain analysis. Landsat series data was used to map Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) and land surface temperature distribution during the month of October for the year 1984, 1993, 2001 and 2015. The Cellular Automata Markov Chain analysis was used to determine long term landscape transformation at 10-year time steps from 2015 to 2045. We further tested the potential of a variety of vegetation and non-vegetation indices to predict land surface temperature. Results show that the Urban Index (UI), non-vegetation index was the best predictor of surface temperature, since it had the highest correlation with retrieved surface temperature (r = 0.9831). When tested against …
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