Authors
Fabio Canova, Matteo Ciccarelli
Publication date
2009/8
Journal
International economic review
Volume
50
Issue
3
Pages
929-959
Publisher
Blackwell Publishing Inc
Description
This article presents a method to estimate the coefficients, to test specification hypotheses, and to conduct policy exercises in multicountry Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models with cross‐unit interdependencies, unit‐specific dynamics, and time variations in the coefficients. The framework of analysis is Bayesian: A prior flexibly reduces the dimensionality of the model and puts structure on the time variations, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are used to obtain posterior distributions, and marginal likelihoods to check the fit of various specifications. Impulse responses and conditional forecasts are obtained with the output of an MCMC routine. The transmission of certain shocks across countries is analyzed.
Total citations
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202462810131324293223373832403530342016
Scholar articles
F Canova, M Ciccarelli - International economic review, 2009
F Canova, M Ciccarelli - Estimation, Testing and Leading Indicators (August …, 2003