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Distributed small-scale renewable energy (RE) production and markets expand globally. Policies play a major role in the growth. Distributed systems can help in achieving official targets, as well as offer economic opportunities for small-scale energy producers and the producers, retailers and installers of energy devices. However, small-scale energy production in households, farms or small enterprise has received relatively little attention in Finland to date. The opportunities and challenges of distributed small-scale RE sector in Finland were assessed in this study. Data was gathered using a Delphi-based method. 26 experts within the RE technology chain participated. Results were discussed and further elaborated in an expert workshop. Five scenarios representing views of the expert panel were produced for the development up to 2025: 1) Stagnation, 2) Stable slow growth, 3) Multifaceted reform, 4) Solar …