Authors
Pouyan Asem, Paolo Gardoni
Publication date
2021/8/1
Journal
Engineering Geology
Volume
289
Pages
106187
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Rock mass elastic and strength properties are needed for calculation of deformation and determination of stability of underground structures. Most available models for prediction of rock mass properties are site-specific, are deterministic, and cannot properly propagate uncertainty in reliability analysis of underground structures. A generalized Bayesian approach is used to develop probabilistic predictive models for the rock mass properties. A set of training and testing databases for rock mass deformation modulus, unconfined compressive strength, and Poisson's ratio based on point load strength index, water content, and geological strength index are also developed. Evaluation of the existing models using our databases show rather large mean absolute percentage errors. Our models, calibrated using training databases, (i) are probabilistic and include model parameter statistics needed for uncertainty propagation …
Total citations
20212022202320242564