Authors
Ying Zhang, Jefferson Riera, Kayla Ostrow, Sauleh Siddiqui, Harendra de Silva, Sahotra Sarkar, Lakkumar Fernando, Lauren Gardner
Publication date
2020/12
Journal
BMC Infectious Diseases
Volume
20
Pages
1-14
Publisher
BioMed Central
Description
Background
More than 80,000 dengue cases including 215 deaths were reported nationally in less than 7 months between 2016 and 2017, a fourfold increase in the number of reported cases compared to the average number over 2010–2016. The region of Negombo, located in the Western province, experienced the greatest number of dengue cases in the country and is the focus area of our study, where we aim to capture the spatial-temporal dynamics of dengue transmission.
Methods
We present a statistical modeling framework to evaluate the spatial-temporal dynamics of the 2016–2017 dengue outbreak in the Negombo region of Sri Lanka as a function of human mobility, land-use, and climate patterns. The analysis was conducted at a 1 km × 1 km spatial resolution and a weekly temporal resolution.
Results
Our results indicate human mobility to be a stronger indicator for local outbreak clusters than …
Total citations
Scholar articles
Y Zhang, J Riera, K Ostrow, S Siddiqui, H de Silva… - BMC Infectious Diseases, 2020