Authors
Ben Charoenwong, Yosuke Kimura, Alan Kwan, Eugene Tan
Publication date
2024/3/1
Journal
Journal of Financial Economics
Volume
153
Pages
103779
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
In canonical models of investment dynamics under uncertainty, “time-to-build” in investment decisions implies that uncertainty negatively impacts firm values and aggregate capital productivity. However, capital budgeting, which involves ex-ante information acquisition and state-contingent investment decisions, can potentially ameliorate time-to-build frictions. Reduced-form evidence using firm-level data on sales and investment expectations and errors supports both mechanisms. Incorporating capital budgeting into a standard investment model, our calibrated model reveals that state-contingent investment planning and information acquisition reduce aggregate productivity losses by 41% and 17%, respectively. Moreover, gains from planning accrue primarily to less productive firms, while information acquisition benefits higher productivity ones.
Total citations
2023202423
Scholar articles
B Charoenwong, Y Kimura, A Kwan, E Tan - Journal of Financial Economics, 2024