Authors
Nelson C Mark, Donggyu Sul
Publication date
2001/2/1
Journal
Journal of international economics
Volume
53
Issue
1
Pages
29-52
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
We study the long-run relationship between nominal exchange rates and monetary fundamentals in a quarterly panel of 19 countries extending from 1973.1 to 1997.1. Our analysis is centered on two issues. First, we test whether exchange rates are cointegrated with long-run determinants predicted by economic theory. These results generally support the hypothesis of cointegration. The second issue is to re-examine the ability for monetary fundamentals to forecast future exchange rate returns. Panel regression estimates and panel-based forecasts confirm that this forecasting power is significant.
Total citations
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