Authors
Malcolm T McCulloch, Amos Winter, Clark E Sherman, Julie A Trotter
Publication date
2024/2
Journal
Nature Climate Change
Volume
14
Issue
2
Pages
171-177
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK
Description
Anthropogenic emissions drive global-scale warming yet the temperature increase relative to pre-industrial levels is uncertain. Using 300 years of ocean mixed-layer temperature records preserved in sclerosponge carbonate skeletons, we demonstrate that industrial-era warming began in the mid-1860s, more than 80 years earlier than instrumental sea surface temperature records. The Sr/Ca palaeothermometer was calibrated against ‘modern’ (post-1963) highly correlated (R2 = 0.91) instrumental records of global sea surface temperatures, with the pre-industrial defined by nearly constant (<±0.1 °C) temperatures from 1700 to the early 1860s. Increasing ocean and land-air temperatures overlap until the late twentieth century, when the land began warming at nearly twice the rate of the surface oceans. Hotter land temperatures, together with the earlier onset of industrial-era warming, indicate that global …
Total citations
Scholar articles
MT McCulloch, A Winter, CE Sherman, JA Trotter - Nature Climate Change, 2024