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Recently, there has been a significant interest towards 360-degree panorama video. However, such videos usually require extremely high bitrate which hinders their widely spread over the Internet. Tile-based viewport adaptive streaming is a promising way to deliver 360-degree video due to its on-request portion downloading. But it is not trivial for it to achieve good Quality of Experience (QoE) because Internet request-reply delay is usually much higher than motion-to-photon latency. In this paper, we leverage a probabilistic approach to pre-fetch tiles countering viewport prediction error, and design a QoE-driven viewport adaptation system, 360ProbDASH. It treats user's head movement as probability events, and constructs a probabilistic model to depict the distribution of viewport prediction error. A QoE-driven optimization framework is proposed to minimize total expected distortion of pre-fetched tiles. Besides, to …