Authors
Harry H Hendon, Eunpa Lim, Guomin Wang, Oscar Alves, Debra Hudson
Publication date
2009/10
Journal
Geophysical research letters
Volume
36
Issue
19
Description
Global climatic impacts of El Niño are sensitive to details of the surface warming of the equatorial Pacific Ocean, which vary between each El Niño event. The ability to predict the differences in pattern of anomalous ocean temperatures is explored for two prominent types of El Niño, traditional cold tongue events that have maximum surface warming in the eastern Pacific, and warm pool events that have maximum warming in the central Pacific. We assess seasonal predictions of the two types of El Niño using the Australian Bureau of Meteorology coupled ocean‐atmosphere seasonal forecast model. Prediction of the major differences in pattern of anomalous ocean surface temperature between the two types of El Niño is limited to less than 1 season lead time, which is much shorter than for prediction of the occurrence of El Niño but which does have important practical application for prediction of regional climate …
Total citations
2009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024328181491713108121581195
Scholar articles
HH Hendon, E Lim, G Wang, O Alves, D Hudson - Geophysical research letters, 2009