Authors
Ping-Feng Pai, Kuo-Ping Lin, Chi-Shen Lin, Ping-Teng Chang
Publication date
2010/6/1
Journal
Expert Systems with Applications
Volume
37
Issue
6
Pages
4261-4265
Publisher
Pergamon
Description
The support vector regression (SVR) model is a novel forecasting approach and has been successfully used to solve time series problems. However, the applications of SVR models in a seasonal time series forecasting has not been widely investigated. This study aims at developing a seasonal support vector regression (SSVR) model to forecast seasonal time series data. Seasonal factors and trends are utilized in the SSVR model to perform forecasts. Furthermore, hybrid genetic algorithms and tabu search (GA/TS) algorithms are applied in order to select three parameters of SSVR models. In this study, two other forecasting models, autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) and SVR are employed for forecasting the same data sets. Empirical results indicate that the SSVR outperforms both SVR and SARIMA models in terms of forecasting accuracy. Thus, the SSVR model is an effective method for …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
PF Pai, KP Lin, CS Lin, PT Chang - Expert Systems with Applications, 2010