Authors
René Mõttus, Dustin Wood, David M Condon, Mitja D Back, Anna Baumert, Giulio Costantini, Sacha Epskamp, Samuel Greiff, Wendy Johnson, Aaron Lukaszewski, Aja Murray, William Revelle, Aidan GC Wright, Tal Yarkoni, Matthias Ziegler, Johannes Zimmermann
Publication date
2020/12
Journal
European Journal of Personality
Volume
34
Issue
6
Pages
1175-1201
Publisher
SAGE Publications
Description
We argue that it is useful to distinguish between three key goals of personality science—description, prediction and explanation—and that attaining them often requires different priorities and methodological approaches. We put forward specific recommendations such as publishing findings with minimum a priori aggregation and exploring the limits of predictive models without being constrained by parsimony and intuitiveness but instead maximizing out–of–sample predictive accuracy. We argue that naturally occurring variance in many decontextualized and multidetermined constructs that interest personality scientists may not have individual causes, at least as this term is generally understood and in ways that are human–interpretable, never mind intervenable. If so, useful explanations are narratives that summarize many pieces of descriptive findings rather than models that target individual cause–effect …
Total citations
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