Authors
Jordi Gali, Mark Gertler, J David Lopez-Salido
Publication date
2005/9/1
Journal
Journal of Monetary Economics
Volume
52
Issue
6
Pages
1107-1118
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
Galí and Gertler [1999. Inflation dynamics: a structural econometric approach. Journal of Monetary Eonomics 44(2), 195–222] developed a hybrid variant of the New Keynesian Phillips curve that relates inflation to real marginal cost, expected future inflation and lagged inflation. GMM estimates of the model suggest that forward-looking behavior is dominant: the coefficient on expected future inflation substantially exceeds the coefficient on lagged inflation. While the latter differs significantly from zero, it is quantitatively modest. Several authors have suggested that our results are the product of specification bias or suspect estimation methods. Here we show that these claims are incorrect, and that our results are robust to a variety of estimation procedures, including GMM estimation of the closed form, and nonlinear instrumental variables. Also, as we discuss, many others have obtained very similar results to ours using …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
J Gali, M Gertler, JD Lopez-Salido - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2005