Authors
Andros Gregoriou, Alexandros Kontonikas, Ronald MacDonald, Alberto Montagnoli
Publication date
2009/12
Journal
Financial markets and portfolio management
Volume
23
Pages
401-410
Publisher
Springer US
Description
This paper examines the impact of anticipated and unanticipated interest rate changes on aggregate and sectoral stock returns in the United Kingdom. The monetary policy shock is generated from the change in the 3-month sterling LIBOR futures contract. Results from time-series and panel analysis indicate an important structural break in the relationship between stock returns and monetary policy shifts. Specifically, whereas before the credit crunch, the stock market response to both expected and unexpected interest rate changes is negative and significant; the relationship becomes positive during the credit crisis. The latter finding highlights the inability, so far, of monetary policymakers to reverse, via interest rate cuts, the negative trend observed in stock prices since the onset of the credit crisis.
Total citations
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Scholar articles
A Gregoriou, A Kontonikas, R MacDonald… - Financial markets and portfolio management, 2009