Authors
Agustin R García, J Zavala-Hidalgo, H Delgado-Granados, J Garcia-Escalante, O Gómez-Ramos, D Herrera-Moro
Publication date
2023/9/22
Journal
Journal of Applied Volcanology
Volume
12
Issue
1
Pages
9
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Description
An operational volcanic ash dispersion forecast system was developed for Popocatépetl. It runs automatically every day developing 108 possible scenarios of ash dispersion for the following 36 h. Scenarios are simulated for three eruption column heights: 3 km, 5 km, and 10 km above the volcano’s crater level, every hour for eruptions lasting 1 h. For each hypothetical eruption that starts every hour, the dispersion during the following 8 h is modelled. The system uses the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for weather data and the Fall3D model. It includes a visualization website that displays, among other products: ground accumulation, deposit load, and concentration at relevant flight levels. Popocatépetl volcano, located ~ 60 km from Mexico Megacity was selected as a case study. A comparison from ash forecast system results and satellite observations is presented. The system developed and …
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Scholar articles
AR García, J Zavala-Hidalgo, H Delgado-Granados… - Journal of Applied Volcanology, 2023