Authors
Geert Jan Van Oldenborgh, Eli Mitchell-Larson, Gabriel A Vecchi, Hylke De Vries, Robert Vautard, Friederike Otto
Publication date
2019/10/22
Journal
Environmental Research Letters
Volume
14
Issue
11
Pages
114004
Publisher
IOP Publishing
Description
The strong two-day cold wave in the midwestern United States in January 2019 again ignited the discussion as to whether cold waves are getting more severe or not as a result of Arctic amplification due to climate change. Assessing the evolution of cold waves in the northern hemisphere midlatitudes in the observations has been difficult because the variability of cold waves is large compared to anthropogenic warming. In order to detect changes in cold spells, two complementary ways to optimise the signal-to-noise ratio are employed: multi-decadal series at individual stations, and for shorter time periods by using spatially aggregated measures. Global warming is now strong enough to make trends clear at individual stations when considering long enough (> 50 yr) records of daily minimum and maximum temperature. Calculating the land area that has temperatures below the 1-in-10 year return value (defined …
Total citations
202020212022202320242169205
Scholar articles
GJ Van Oldenborgh, E Mitchell-Larson, GA Vecchi… - Environmental Research Letters, 2019