Authors
Luděk Berec, Tomáš Diviák, Aleš Kuběna, René Levínský, Roman Neruda, Gabriela Suchopárová, Josef Šlerka, Martin Šmíd, Jan Trnka, Vít Tuček, Petra Vidnerová, Milan Zajíček
Publication date
2023/6/1
Journal
Epidemics
Volume
43
Pages
100677
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Background
Contact tracing is one of the most effective non-pharmaceutical interventions in the COVID-19 pandemic. This study uses a multi-agent model to investigate the impact of four types of contact tracing strategies to prevent the spread of COVID-19.
Methods
In order to analyse individual contact tracing in a reasonably realistic setup, we construct an agent-based model of a small municipality with about 60.000 inhabitants (nodes) and about 2.8 million social contacts (edges) in 30 different layers. Those layers reflect demographic, geographic, sociological and other patterns of the TTWA (Travel-to-work-area) Hodonín in Czechia. Various data sources such as census, land register, transport data or data reflecting the shopping behaviour, were employed to meet this purpose. On this multi-graph structure we run a modified SEIR model of the COVID-19 dynamics. The parameters of the model are calibrated on …
Total citations
2023202411
Scholar articles
L Berec, T Diviák, A Kuběna, R Levínský, R Neruda… - Epidemics, 2023