Authors
Bart Van den Hurk, Albert Klein Tank, Geert Lenderink, Aad van Ulden, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Caroline Katsman, Henk van den Brink, Franziska Keller, Janette Bessembinder, Gerrit Burgers, Gerbrand Komen, Wilco Hazeleger, Sybren Drijfhout
Publication date
2007/8/1
Journal
Water science and technology
Volume
56
Issue
4
Pages
27-33
Publisher
IWA Publishing
Description
A new set of climate change scenarios for 2050 for the Netherlands was produced recently. The scenarios span a wide range of possible future climate conditions, and include climate variables that are of interest to a broad user community. The scenario values are constructed by combining output from an ensemble of recent General Climate Model (GCM) simulations, Regional Climate Model (RCM) output, meteorological observations and a touch of expert judgment. For temperature, precipitation, potential evaporation and wind four scenarios are constructed, encompassing ranges of both global mean temperature rise in 2050 and the strength of the response of the dominant atmospheric circulation in the area of interest to global warming. For this particular area, wintertime precipitation is seen to increase between 3.5 and 7% per degree global warming, but mean summertime precipitation shows opposite signs …
Total citations
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202411217162941403847401913101584644
Scholar articles
B Van den Hurk, AK Tank, G Lenderink, A van Ulden… - Water science and technology, 2007