Authors
Wil Thissen, Jan Kwakkel, Marjolein Mens, Jeroen van der Sluijs, Sara Stemberger, Arjan Wardekker, Diana Wildschut
Publication date
2017/1
Journal
Water resources management
Volume
31
Pages
703-725
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Description
Developing fresh water supply strategies for the long term needs to take into account the fact that the future is deeply uncertain. Not only the extent of climate change and the extent and nature of its impacts are unknown, also socio-economic conditions may change in unpredictable ways, as well as social preferences. Often, it is not possible to find solid ground for estimating probabilities for the relevant range of imaginable possible future developments. Yet, some of these may have profound impacts and consequences for society which could be reduced by timely proactive adaptation. In response to these and similar challenges, various approaches, methods and techniques have been proposed and are being developed to specifically address long-term strategy development under so-called deep uncertainty. This paper, first, offers a brief overview of developments in the field of planning under (deep …
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Scholar articles
W Thissen, J Kwakkel, M Mens, J van der Sluijs… - Water resources management, 2017