Authors
Thomas Homer-Dixon, Brian Walker, Reinette Biggs, Anne-Sophie Crépin, Carl Folke, Eric F Lambin, Garry D Peterson, Johan Rockström, Marten Scheffer, Will Steffen, Max Troell
Publication date
2015/9/1
Journal
Ecology and Society
Volume
20
Issue
3
Publisher
Resilience Alliance
Description
Recent global crises reveal an emerging pattern of causation that could increasingly characterize the birth and progress of future global crises. A conceptual framework identifies this pattern’s deep causes, intermediate processes, and ultimate outcomes. The framework shows how multiple stresses can interact within a single social-ecological system to cause a shift in that system’s behavior, how simultaneous shifts of this kind in several largely discrete social-ecological systems can interact to cause a far larger intersystemic crisis, and how such a larger crisis can then rapidly propagate across multiple system boundaries to the global scale. Case studies of the 2008-2009 financial-energy and food-energy crises illustrate the framework. Suggestions are offered for future research to explore further the framework’s propositions.
Total citations
20152016201720182019202020212022202320245122731312742274123
Scholar articles
T Homer-Dixon, B Walker, R Biggs, AS Crépin, C Folke… - Ecology and Society, 2015