Authors
Qihe Tang, Zhongyi Yuan
Publication date
2013/7/3
Journal
North American Actuarial Journal
Volume
17
Issue
3
Pages
253-271
Publisher
Taylor & Francis Group
Description
Consider a portfolio of n obligors subject to possible default. We propose a new structural model for the loss given default, which takes into account the severity of default. Then we study the tail behavior of the loss given default under the assumption that the losses of the n obligors jointly follow a multivariate regular variation structure. This structure provides an ideal framework for modeling both heavy tails and asymptotic dependence. Multivariate models involving Archimedean copulas and mixtures are revisited. As applications, we derive asymptotic estimates for the value at risk and conditional tail expectation of the loss given default and compare them with the traditional empirical estimates.
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