Authors
Jamie Perin, Amy Mulick, Diana Yeung, Francisco Villavicencio, Gerard Lopez, Kathleen L Strong, David Prieto-Merino, Simon Cousens, Robert E Black, Li Liu
Publication date
2022/2/1
Journal
The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health
Volume
6
Issue
2
Pages
106-115
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Background
Causes of mortality are a crucial input for health systems for identifying appropriate interventions for child survival. We present an updated series of cause-specific mortality for neonates and children younger than 5 years from 2000 to 2019.
Methods
We updated cause-specific mortality estimates for neonates and children aged 1–59 months, stratified by level (low, moderate, or high) of mortality. We made a substantial change in the statistical methods used for previous estimates, transitioning to a Bayesian framework that includes a structure to account for unreported causes in verbal autopsy studies. We also used systematic covariate selection in the multinomial framework, gave more weight to nationally representative verbal autopsy studies using a random effects model, and included mortality due to tuberculosis.
Findings
In 2019, there were 5·30 million deaths (95% uncertainty range 4·92–5·68) among …
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