Authors
Patrick Augustin, Roméo Tédongap
Publication date
2021/10
Journal
Management Science
Volume
67
Issue
10
Pages
6266-6293
Publisher
INFORMS
Description
We solve a dynamic equilibrium model with generalized disappointment-aversion preferences and continuous state-endowment dynamics. We apply the framework to the term structure of interest rates and show that the model generates an upward-sloping term structure of nominal interest rates and a downward-sloping term structure of real interest rates and that it accounts for the failure of the expectations hypothesis. The key ingredients are preferences with disappointment aversion, preference for early resolution of uncertainty, and an endowment economy with three state variables: time-varying macroeconomic uncertainty, time-varying expected inflation, and inflation uncertainty.
This paper was accepted by Karl Diether, finance.
Total citations
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