Authors
Ozcan Saritas, Yanuar Nugroho
Publication date
2012/3/1
Journal
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Volume
79
Issue
3
Pages
509-529
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
In parallel with the increasing complexity and uncertainty of social, technological, economic, environmental, political and value systems (STEEPV), there is a need for a systemic approach in Foresight. Recognizing this need, the paper begins with the introduction of the Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM) is introduced briefly as a conceptual framework to understand and appreciate the complexity of systems and interdependencies and interrelationships between their elements. Conducting Foresight systemically involves a set of ‘systemic’ thought experiments, which is about how systems (e.g. human and social systems, industrial/sectoral systems, and innovation systems) are understood, modelled and intervened for a successful change programme. A methodological approach is proposed with the use of network analysis to show an application of systemic thinking in Foresight through the visualisation of …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
O Saritas, Y Nugroho - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2012