Authors
Meead Saberi, Homayoun Hamedmoghadam, Mudabber Ashfaq, Seyed Amir Hosseini, Ziyuan Gu, Sajjad Shafiei, Divya J Nair, Vinayak Dixit, Lauren Gardner, S Travis Waller, Marta C González
Publication date
2020/4/7
Journal
Nature communications
Volume
11
Issue
1
Pages
1616
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK
Description
The spread of traffic jams in urban networks has long been viewed as a complex spatio-temporal phenomenon that often requires computationally intensive microscopic models for analysis purposes. In this study, we present a framework to describe the dynamics of congestion propagation and dissipation of traffic in cities using a simple contagion process, inspired by those used to model infectious disease spread in a population. We introduce two macroscopic characteristics for network traffic dynamics, namely congestion propagation rate β and congestion dissipation rate μ. We describe the dynamics of congestion spread using these new parameters embedded within a system of ordinary differential equations, similar to the well-known susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model. The proposed contagion-based dynamics are verified through an empirical multi-city analysis, and can be used to monitor, predict and …
Total citations
20202021202220232024820373638
Scholar articles
M Saberi, H Hamedmoghadam, M Ashfaq, SA Hosseini… - Nature communications, 2020