Authors
Utpal Bhattacharya, Po-Hsuan Hsu, Xuan Tian, Yan Xu
Publication date
2017/10
Journal
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Volume
52
Issue
5
Pages
1869-1901
Publisher
Cambridge University Press
Description
Motivated by a theoretical model, we examine for 43 countries whether it is policy or policy uncertainty that affects technological innovation more. Innovation activities, measured by patent-based proxies, are not, on average, affected by which policy is in place. Innovation activities, however, drop significantly during times of policy uncertainty measured by national elections. The drop is greater for more influential innovations (citations in the right tail, exploratory rather than exploitative innovations) and for innovation-intensive industries. We use close presidential elections and ethnic fractionalization to address endogeneity concerns. We uncover the mechanism underlying the main result by showing that the number of patenting inventors decreases with policy uncertainty. Political compromise, we conclude, encourages innovation.
Total citations
20162017201820192020202120222023202447242465818411997
Scholar articles
U Bhattacharya, PH Hsu, X Tian, Y Xu - Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2017