Authors
Jean-luc Dupuy, Hélène Fargeon, Nicolas Martin-StPaul, François Pimont, Julien Ruffault, Mercedes Guijarro, Carmen Hernando, Javier Madrigal, Paulo Fernandes
Publication date
2020/6
Source
Annals of Forest Science
Volume
77
Pages
1-24
Publisher
Springer Paris
Description
Key message
Wildfire danger and burnt areas should increase over the century in southern Europe, owing to climate warming. Fire-prone area expansion to the north and to Mediterranean mountains is a concern, while climate-induced burnt area increase might be limited by fuel availability in the most arid areas. Further studies are needed to both assess and reduce uncertainties on future trends.
Context
Wildfire is the main disturbance in forested ecosystems of southern Europe. Warmer and drier conditions projected in this region are expected to profoundly affect wildfire regimes.
Aims
In this review, we pursue a twofold objective: (i) report the trends in wildfire danger and activity projected under warming climate in southern Europe and (ii) discuss the limitations of these projections.
Methods …
Total citations
20202021202220232024744708854