Authors
Maryse Charpentier-Noyer, Pierre Nicolle, Olivier Payrastre, Eric Gaume, François Bouttier, Hugo Marchal
Publication date
2023/5
Journal
EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts
Pages
EGU-11757
Description
Flash floods (FF) represent an important part of the flood damages and fatalities in the world. Today, operational FF nowcasting and warning systems are often based on the use of precipitation weather radars, and therefore still offer limited anticipation. They also generally rather represent the intensity of the flood events than their severity in terms of impacts, which may limit the capacity of emergency services to take relevant decisions. This contribution aims at evaluating the value of a new ensemble FF impacts forecasting chain for the decision making of an emergency service. The case study corresponds to the Aude River flash floods that occurred on October 15 and 16, 2018, and which are among the most important FF observed in southeastern France in the recent years. This event is responsible for the death of 15 people (99 people injured), as well as particularly large material damages. The tested FF impacts …