Auteurs
Luc Neppel, Benjamin Renard, Michel Lang, Pierre-Alain Ayral, Denis Coeur, Eric Gaume, Nicolas Jacob, Olivier Payrastre, Karine Pobanz, Freddy Vinet
Date de publication
2010/3/29
Revue
Hydrological Sciences Journal–Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques
Volume
55
Numéro
2
Pages
192-208
Éditeur
Taylor & Francis
Description
Flood frequency analysis based on a set of systematic data and a set of historical floods is applied to several Mediterranean catchments. After identification and collection of data on historical floods, several hydraulic models were constructed to account for geomorphological changes. Recent and historical rating curves were constructed and applied to reconstruct flood discharge series, together with their uncertainty. This uncertainty stems from two types of error: (a) random errors related to the water-level readings; and (b) systematic errors related to over- or under-estimation of the rating curve. A Bayesian frequency analysis is performed to take both sources of uncertainty into account. It is shown that the uncertainty affecting discharges should be carefully evaluated and taken into account in the flood frequency analysis, as it can increase the quantiles confidence interval. The quantiles are found to be consistent …
Nombre total de citations
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Articles Google Scholar
L Neppel, B Renard, M Lang, PA Ayral, D Coeur… - Hydrological Sciences Journal–Journal des Sciences …, 2010