Authors
Kirien Whan, Jakob Zscheischler, Rene Orth, Mxolisi Shongwe, Mohammad Rahimi, Ernest O Asare, Sonia I Seneviratne
Publication date
2015/9/1
Journal
Weather and Climate Extremes
Volume
9
Pages
57-67
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Land-atmosphere interactions play an important role for hot temperature extremes in Europe. Dry soils may amplify such extremes through feedbacks with evapotranspiration. While previous observational studies generally focused on the relationship between precipitation deficits and the number of hot days, we investigate here the influence of soil moisture (SM) on summer monthly maximum temperatures (TXx) using water balance model-based SM estimates (driven with observations) and temperature observations. Generalized extreme value distributions are fitted to TXx using SM as a covariate. We identify a negative relationship between SM and TXx, whereby a 100 mm decrease in model-based SM is associated with a 1.6 °C increase in TXx in Southern-Central and Southeastern Europe. Dry SM conditions result in a 2–4 °C increase in the 20-year return value of TXx compared to wet conditions in these two …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
K Whan, J Zscheischler, R Orth, M Shongwe, M Rahimi… - Weather and Climate Extremes, 2015