Authors
Faruque Abdullah, Wasif Bin Mamoon, AKM Saiful Islam, GM Tarekul Islam, Sujit Kumar Bala, Shadman Kaiser, Khaled Mohammed, Maruf Billah, Mohan Kumar Das
Publication date
2024/7/1
Journal
Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure
Pages
1-27
Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Description
The central northern region of Bangladesh has a low density and quality of sustainable rural infrastructures, and it is frequently affected by climate change-induced seasonal flooding and associated river erosion. This study used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model to simulate future discharges under moderate and extreme Shared Socio-economic Pathway (SSP) scenarios, utilizing 13 bias-corrected Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) General Circulation Models (GCMs). Using these flow projections, the 1D HEC-RAS hydrodynamic model was then simulated to assess future water level fluctuations in six major rivers in the study region. The results indicate that the dry season will experience a more notable flow increase (up to 45%) than the wet season (up to 42%) compared to the baseline under the extreme scenario by 2100. The subsequent rises in water levels …
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