Authors
Paul Stegmann, Vassilis Daioglou, Marc Londo, Detlef P van Vuuren, Martin Junginger
Publication date
2022/12/8
Journal
Nature
Volume
612
Issue
7939
Pages
272-276
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK
Description
Plastics show the strongest production growth of all bulk materials and are already responsible for 4.5% of global greenhouse gas emissions,. If no new policies are implemented, we project a doubling of global plastic demand by 2050 and more than a tripling by 2100, with an almost equivalent increase in CO2 emissions. Here we analyse three alternative CO2 emission-mitigation pathways for the global plastics sector until 2100, covering the entire life cycle from production to waste management. Our results show that, through bio-based carbon sequestration in plastic products, a combination of biomass use and landfilling can achieve negative emissions in the long term; however, this involves continued reliance on primary feedstock. A circular economy approach without an additional bioeconomy push reduces resource consumption by 30% and achieves 10% greater emission reductions before 2050 while …
Total citations
2021202220232024226797
Scholar articles
P Stegmann, V Daioglou, M Londo, DP van Vuuren… - Nature, 2022