Authors
Jun-Ichi Yano, Michał Z Ziemiański, Mike Cullen, Piet Termonia, Jeanette Onvlee, Lisa Bengtsson, Alberto Carrassi, Richard Davy, Anna Deluca, Suzanne L Gray, Víctor Homar, Martin Köhler, Simon Krichak, Silas Michaelides, Vaughan TJ Phillips, Pedro MM Soares, Andrzej A Wyszogrodzki
Publication date
2018/4/1
Journal
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume
99
Issue
4
Pages
699-710
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Description
After extensive efforts over the course of a decade, convective-scale weather forecasts with horizontal grid spacings of 1–5 km are now operational at national weather services around the world, accompanied by ensemble prediction systems (EPSs). However, though already operational, the capacity of forecasts for this scale is still to be fully exploited by overcoming the fundamental difficulty in prediction: the fully three-dimensional and turbulent nature of the atmosphere. The prediction of this scale is totally different from that of the synoptic scale (10 3 km), with slowly evolving semigeostrophic dynamics and relatively long predictability on the order of a few days.
Total citations
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Scholar articles
JI Yano, MZ Ziemiański, M Cullen, P Termonia… - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2018